Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 6.178403e-01 0.794107 0.992940 1.231177 1.506217 1.811245 2.172534
2025-09-14 3.876830e-01 0.609764 0.892921 1.268140 1.740155 2.302783 3.012371
2025-09-21 2.401606e-01 0.469974 0.801737 1.284054 1.936757 2.760819 3.850671
2025-09-28 1.391404e-01 0.351055 0.700897 1.257900 2.063640 3.132762 4.603418
2025-10-05 8.533123e-02 0.280824 0.648085 1.281390 2.249170 3.584429 5.476788
2025-10-12 4.976055e-02 0.222846 0.595671 1.290191 2.406089 3.999451 6.315884
2025-10-19 2.441027e-02 0.165545 0.523753 1.249693 2.477915 4.292416 6.996166
2025-10-26 1.083703e-02 0.123813 0.466118 1.219293 2.555766 4.590939 7.689131
2025-11-02 4.750374e-03 0.098482 0.434555 1.228556 2.693757 4.979535 8.517945
2025-11-09 1.222102e-03 0.070992 0.383543 1.187932 2.740289 5.227915 9.149669
2025-11-16 3.903119e-04 0.061178 0.378408 1.240239 2.949171 5.731474 10.164574
2025-11-23 2.986106e-05 0.047500 0.352918 1.242465 3.066608 6.094193 10.979837
2025-11-30 5.313914e-07 0.043037 0.359603 1.321576 3.333705 6.710735 12.200135
2025-12-07 NaN 0.036598 0.354757 1.372523 3.551617 7.256540 13.329683
2025-12-14 NaN 0.029115 0.339724 1.395499 3.717179 7.722520 14.349852
2025-12-21 NaN 0.020315 0.308709 1.370854 3.787298 8.032669 15.138712
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015943 0.297721 1.397334 3.958867 8.515398 16.201979
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011797 0.282162 1.407462 4.096569 8.943600 17.187664
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007088 0.251161 1.364830 4.121035 9.178176 17.874300
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004098 0.225851 1.332706 4.163393 9.442609 18.611139
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002684 0.214347 1.342651 4.296006 9.866902 19.608436
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001200 0.189386 1.299491 4.307472 10.076490 20.265043
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000928 0.191600 1.355145 4.543688 10.691786 21.584272